Ideas change everything

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How AI can bring on a second Industrial Revolution

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Kevin Kelly |

TEDSummit

• June 2016

"The actual path of a raindrop as it goes down the valley is unpredictable, but the general direction is inevitable," says digital visionary Kevin Kelly -- and technology is much the same, driven by patterns that are surprising but inevitable. Over the next 20 years, he says, our penchant for making things smarter and smarter will have a profound impact on nearly everything we do. Kelly explores three trends in AI we need to understand in order to embrace it and steer its development. "The most popular AI product 20 years from now that everyone uses has not been invented yet," Kelly says. "That means that you're not late."

"The actual path of a raindrop as it goes down the valley is unpredictable, but the general direction is inevitable," says digital visionary Kevin Kelly -- and technology is much the same, driven by patterns that are surprising but inevitable. Over the next 20 years, he says, our penchant for making things smarter and smarter will have a profound impact on nearly everything we do. Kelly explores three trends in AI we need to understand in order to embrace it and steer its development. "The most popular AI product 20 years from now that everyone uses has not been invented yet," Kelly says. "That means that you're not late."

This talk was presented at an official TED conference.

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Kevin Kelly packages ideas -- both other people's and his own.

This talk was presented at an official TED conference.

Read our curation guidelines.

Help us get better at predicting the future. Add to our collection of long-term forecasts by submitting any forecasts you come across to our public blog, "Extrapolations." These should be forecasts based on quantitative data, rather than merely descriptive.